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Nomura IS going for a serious pullback from Europe; Credit Suisse now making 3,500 redundancies in total - but also hiring

Two banks have reported this morning: Nomura and Credit Suisse. There is one word for both: redundancies.

The redundancies at Nomura - more than just a quick cost cutting exercise

It turns out the Wall Street Journal was right when it said a few weeks ago that Nomura was rethinking its investment banking operations.

After reporting a third quarter loss of 41bn Yen in its wholesale business, Nomura announced today that it will be cutting out $1.2bn of costs, including the $400bn it announced earlier in the year. This isn't quite as bad as the WSJ had indicated (it suggested the total might be $1.4bn). But it's still bad.

The cuts at Nomura are likely to fall disproportionately in Europe.

In an accompanying strategy statement, Nomura says it plans to "rebalance" its resources "across regions." In America, it says it will: "continue to pursue organic growth." In Asia (a "strategically important region for the firm), it will: "strengthen its integrated management." But in EMEA, Nomura says its focus will be: "to lay a foundation for future growth under a new cost structure." This sounds a lot like a euphemism for cutting the European business back and trying to work out where to go from there.

As we noted previously, Nomura employs 4,436 people in Europe. Assuming compensation of around US$350k per head - which would put Nomura's pay on a par with rival investment banks - this implies it may need to get rid of 3,400 people in order to achieve the $1.2bn in savings.

Nomura's retrenchment is about more than just cost cutting, however. The bank's wholesale business was (just) profitable for the first half of the year. To achieve profitability in the third quarter it would need to have cut $526m from costs, not $1.2bn. By going for far higher cost reductions than are necessary, it looks like Nomura is using this as an opportunity to pull back from international investment banking - in Europe at least.

Credit Suisse is now removing 16% of its investment bankers

Credit Suisse is also in urgent need of cost savings. Like Nomura's wholesale business, Credit Suisse's investment bank made a loss in the third quarter, with a cost income ratio of 105.3%. To return to a normalized cost income ratio of - say, 75% - CS would have needed to eliminate CHF624m of costs in Q3. At the current rate of annualized pay per head in the investment bank (CHF341k) that implies 1,800 job cuts.

Like Nomura, Credit Suisse seems to be cutting more than is necessary. The bank announced another 1,500 investment banking job cuts today - in addition to the 2,000 announced in July. Credit Suisse doesn't appear to have done much cutting so far: headcount in the investment bank was actually up 200 in Q3 vs. Q2.

Like Nomura, Credit Suisse gives an indication of where it plans to cut people and where it plans to hire people. "Growth and emerging markets" like as Russia are popular. EMEA coverage banks are not. We've reproduced the list in full below.

Where Credit Suisse plans to, 'Invest/Grow'

- Foreign exchange

- Global rates (including electronic trading)

- Fixed income businesses in fast growing and emerging

markets (including Brazil, Southeast Asia, Greater China,

and Russia)

- Commodities

- Prime services

- Derivatives (including flow and corporate)

- Equity underwriting (target top three globally)

Where Credit Suisse plans to, 'Evolve'

- Credit products

- Securitized products (including non-agency and agency residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) trading and commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) trading)

- Structured financing business in emerging markets

- Cash equities

- Continued alignment of corporate lending with key clients

- Reallocate investment banking resources to growth markets, particularly Asia

Where Credit Suisse plans to, 'Downscale/Exit'

- Structured long-dated unsecured trades, including in rates, emerging markets and commodities

- Exit CMBS origination

- Downscale less capital efficient securitized products

- Improve investment banking client coverage efficiency and profitability in Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA)

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AUTHORSarah Butcher Global Editor
  • SR
    SR
    2 November 2011

    It is interesting how $400bn of costs need to be cut. That will take more than just Nomura's European investment banking unit. Probably need to shut most of the UK down too... ;-)

  • Cl
    Clinton
    1 November 2011

    In my opinion end of nomura is near, just like lehman. What a travesty

  • 12
    123collegekid
    1 November 2011

    Hypothetically speaking.. if one had signed a contract with Nomura IBD (London) in October 2010 for a start in summer 2012, given the current happenings, should he or she look arround for another offer at lets say DB, MS before the deadlines close? Or might this actually be good. A good number of people, mostly underperfoming, are gone by then and one would be part of a leaner more efficient franchise in 2012. just hypothically...

  • Un
    Unpleasant Guest
    1 November 2011

    Seems like the banks are doing it step by step - in line with the unravelling of the global Ponzi. After a loss-making second quarter a few thousand here and there, after a bad third quarter a few more thousands. Oh, and let's not forget - two financial institutions just went belly up - Dexia and MF Global. So, how does this augur for a fourth / first quarter? Greek default, potentially followed by the rest of the PIIGS, few big i-banks belly up, but nationalised since no one goes bust - but demands from the regulators for massive restructuring, rest of i-banks to follow. So where do we go from here? My view - 25-30% cuts across the board. FInally normalised London house prices after that...

  • Da
    Davros
    1 November 2011

    It was odd logic. "These guys lost bajillions! Lets hire them!"
    I have no doubt the intrepid Nomura HR department is scooping up risk management 'talent' from UBS as we speak.

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