Late Lunchtime Links: Is it a sign? No new headcount at Jefferies in Q1
As the Wall Street Journal points out, Jefferies fulfils a canary-ish function in the coal mine. Coming before other banks' results, its results are seen as a harbinger of things to come.
What can be made then, of the fact that Jefferies isn't adding headcount any more? In the first quarter of 2010, it added 101 people. In the first quarter of 2011, it lost 2.
On the other hand, Jefferies first quarter earnings were up 21%. It had the best quarterly revenues ever and its second most profitable quarter ever, particularly in investment banking where most of last year's hiring took place.
If anything is to be extrapolated, it is this: banks like Jefferies aren't hiring this year while they wait for last year's recruitment to pay off. Last year's recruitment is paying off, implying hiring could pick up later in the year. Maybe.
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