GUEST COMMENT: Tell me another industry that has had as close a shave as this one and bounced back as fast
Two years is a long time in investment banking, and the last two years have seemed particularly so. We haven't just lost a lot of familiar faces in the industry, but whole firms aren't around any more. It was worse than anything anyone had ever planned for, and it made veterans of us all. And yet, just two years after the collapse of Lehman and the start of the worst financial crisis any of us has known, the investment banking industry is back on its feet and prospering.
Of course times are still hard. Business is tough, and despite the field thinning out, the competition for corporate finance mandates is at least as intense as it ever was.
In the lower reaches of the investment banking food chain, pay is down, and headcount is down almost everywhere.
But profitability is still there, not quite at the levels of the good old days, partly because the capital tied up in the business is greater now than before, but at the top of most firms people are trying hard to suppress big wide grins.
All that noise about banking reform, all the huffing and puffing and posturing by politicians and regulators...well, it isn't over yet - the Europeans could yet come charging over the hill, imposing business stifling new regulations, and they certainly never lose an opportunity to take a shot at London, but it looks as if the phoney war on the City was just a little phoney.
And as for the rest of the banking industry, who do they turn to when they are seeking people to head up large commercial banking groups? Their chief investment bankers of course.
Tell me another industry that has had as close a shave as this one and bounced back as fast. We stared into the abyss and saw...dollar signs. But we always do. The investment banking industry has to be the most resilient, fastest evolving industry in town.
The massive cost of the bail-out will be borne by future generations. But investment banking is back and prospering. For the moment.