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FRIDAY'S KILLER QUESTION: You are in a room full of people and you ask them all when their birthday is...

Every Friday we'll be posting challenging and cryptic questions for you to answer, provided for us by 7city Learning. Post your answers in the comments box at the bottom of the page. Maximum kudos will be provided to the person who provides the correct answer first.

We'll add the correct answer to the bottom of this article on Monday afternoon.

You are in a room full of people, and you ask them all when their birthday is. How many people must there be for there to be a greater than 50% chance that at least two will share the same birthday?

ANSWER:

It is easier to ask what the chances of two people not having the same birthday are. So suppose that there are just the two people in the room, what are the chances of them not having the same birthday? There are 364 days out of 365 days that the second person could have, so the probability is 364/365. If there are three people in the room the second must have a birthday on one of 364 out of 365, and the third must have one of the remaining 363 out of 365. So the probability is then

7CITY1

And so on. If there are n people in the room the probability of no two sharing a birthday is

7CITY2

So the question becomes, what is the smallest n for which this is less than one half? And the answer is 23.

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AUTHOR7cityLearning Insider Comment
  • ba
    bankeuse1
    10 November 2010

    it converges

  • PH
    PH
    2 November 2010

    I'd rather know what the probability of eurusd going up tomorrow is, far more useful than a Statisics 101 question. It's sad if the job market has gotten to this.

  • An
    Andre 3000
    1 November 2010

    It depends on the context. Example: If you are a barman working in a bar that gives people a complimentary bottle of non-vintage sparkling wine on their birthday, pretty much everyone you ask will have their birthday on the same day. Something similar will apply shoud you happen be attending a meeting of leaplings, Librans, octuplets or people who think they're Napoleon.

  • To
    Todd
    1 November 2010

    I have the same birthday as Pope John Paul II and we have never been in the same room.

  • Pe
    Peter
    1 November 2010

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