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Living dangerously: Diary of an ABS professional, Week 1

He works in the ABS department of a big bank. And in the first of a weekly series, he says the omens aren't looking good.

It's now been in the financial press for more than a month that the bank for which I have the pleasure of working is going to make job cuts.

Four weeks ago, one person from senior management ventured down to the pub where my team was having drinks. As he ordered his beverage and sat down, I asked him if he had read the article in the FT. "The one about Citi's SIVs?" he asked, "yes." "No," I replied, "The one about the bank making a significant number of people in structured credit redundant." At this point he coughed abruptly, stood up and left the pub before his drink had even been served.

So far this is the only internal management communication I have had regarding the redundancies to come. His embarrassment and swift exit from the pub spoke volumes.

Since I joined three and a half years ago, newspapers have not only always been ahead of any management communication from the bank, but have also proved more reliable. Being in structured finance, I feel as though I'm pretty close to the eye of the storm. Although, to be fair, it could be worse - I could have joined the CDO desk. I am glad I didn't, as they now look like dead men walking. I don't know whether I have to feel sorry for them or hold them responsible for the collapse of the market, together with the greedy retards who granted 100% LTV mortgages to 80-year-old Americans with crap credit histories.

This isn't to say my own particular future is looking great. For the last three months my job has consisted mainly of reading the paper in the morning and Bloomberg market updates in the afternoon.

It would be an understatement to say that the atmosphere in the office is ultra gloomy.

The last closing celebration was six months ago. Since then there hasn't been a single lavish dinner or trip to a strip joint. I can feel withdrawal symptoms. The only people who can be caught smiling in the office are those who joined this year on guaranteed bonuses. They were keen to mingle at the beginning but now they just tend to spend time amongst themselves and try to avoid us and, to be fair, I do not really want to spend time with them.

We will soon be playing a macabre game of musical chairs in which when the music starts we (who do not have guarantees) will be the only ones made to stand up.

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AUTHORABS Dude Insider Comment
  • Fr
    Frederic Duchemin
    20 November 2009

    SAVE THE TRADERS

    http://www.youtube.com/watc...

    Traders have been unfairly designated as scapegoats for the global crisis we are experiencing. Not only is it a misleading shortcut, but it is mostly neglecting the fact that they are the first victims! Fortune, employment, honor, some of them have lost everything or almost.

    Save The Traders aims to raise funds to assist the most affected of them. Thanks to the goodwill and participation of many colleagues, friends and contacts, we have produced this piece, we suggest you take a sneak preview.
    http://www.youtube.com/watc...

    Today, we need your help. By distributing this title you will help raise awareness about the cause of traders in trouble and will help them regain their dignity and standing.

    And remember :
    Give a lot, it will help a little

  • An
    Anon UK Resi
    28 November 2007

    analyst2 / Rigorous - I totally agree with you that trading is down across the board.

    Everyone I speak to too is starting to close down, particularly for Christmas, but portfolios are being priced for Q1 trades, and these are certainly up from what we were seeing a month ago.

    I'm not going to pretend we're in the clear, but if you're in an area like M&A you're probably only seeing the worst of it now. Anyone dealing in the mortgage-backed industry was hit first, and hardest, so for us to see people return to market in Q1 is a good sign, any way you cut it.

    Indeed, you can see the smaller mortgage houses like GMAC-RFC and Edeus pulling off trades even in this market - so someone out there is buying!

  • Pa
    Participant, Investment Bankin
    27 November 2007

    The US economy is undoubtedly going into recession and the UK economy looks to be headed that way too.

    I speak to tens of investors who have lost substantial amounts of money by buying stuctured finance securities and all of them refuse to even discuss any new issues. Unfortunately, it looks like this market is not going to recover for some time yet.

  • Ri
    Rigorous Patti
    27 November 2007

    Those that forsee an upturn are either desperately trying to hold their jobs, or have their heads buried in sand. Its widely agreed that the market hasn't bottomed out yet. Retail predicts a week x-mas season, so I'll wait to hear from the optimists in q1-08 when life continues to get worse ... thats job losses notwithstanding!

  • Ak
    Akhalumi,
    27 November 2007

    Think of offering your skills away from the USA.Emerging markets like Africa may need your experience and skills set.

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