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ABN AMRO: should they stay or should they go?

The future looks uncertain for employees at ABN AMRO in London. Question is - what should they do about it?

One thing's certain - cuts are coming. A victorious Barclays would create an overlap in fixed income, while the bank's commitment to ABN's equities business is by no means assured. But if the consortium of Royal Bank of Scotland, Santander and Fortis wins the Dutch bank, even more blood could be spilt - 10,000 heads will roll according to some analysts.

So should ABN bankers make a swift exit or hang on and risk decapitation? Hang on is the verdict of those in the know.

"You need to get your head down and give it a few months," says one JPMorgan banker and veteran of the mergers between Chemical and Chase, Chase and JPMorgan and JPMorgan and Bank One. "If, six months after the merger, you can't stand it, there are always places to go to. But if you just get on with it you may find there's no reason to leave."

After a merger it's not unusual for banks to appoint co-heads of departments, with employees from each of the merged banks vying for the same jobs. It's difficult to predict winners and losers on the basis of the acquired and the acquirer - it's more down to which bank does best on a business by business basis. "Whichever bank was strongest in that particular business seems to take control," says our mole.

Cash for sticking around

And while the power struggles are playing out, employees at the acquired bank can typically negotiate generous retention payments in return for their loyalty.

Michael Moran, chief executive of Fairplace, an outplacement and talent management consultancy, says banks typically pay between six and 12 months of the previous year's bonus to employees who hang on until a certain date.

After that, he says, you can often quit and walk away with a redundancy payment, plus the retention bonus - very nice, thank you.

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AUTHORAnonymous Insider Comment
  • jo
    joseph
    27 May 2007

    Does someone have an idea on which specific businesses of ABN (structured credit product, emerging markets, commodities derivatives, etc...) could be most at risk in RBS or BARCAP success case?

  • An
    Anonymous
    24 May 2007

    Abstract promises of future profits can only add to bankers sinking into the mud of their already tarnished image.

    It is becoming clear that today's global capitalism can no longer be combined with the EU's democratic representation. The key economic decisions of the World Bank, the IMF, etc. are not legitimised by any democratic process, any more than AA's are.

    So what's to be done? If grasping and greed have detonated an explosion at the corporate heart of ABN-AMRO, this explosion presents an opportunity to take back the bank, place social responsibility and duty to all stakeholders at the heart of its governance, and create a model for banking which will better serve shareholders, society and stakeholders alike as the neo-con era draws to a close and the world gets to grips with the biggest challenge of all - climate change and the new economy we must create to cope with it.

    That means management, bank workers and shareholder groups getting into the thick of the action and creating a united front against the elite, self-interested board. Crisis is merely an opportunity that nobody expected. Life is always fired at us point-blank.

  • an
    anonymus shareholder
    24 May 2007

    It means that the AA supervisory board has to take charge of the whole situation and bring its power to bear on Groenink and his pals. And everyone needs to come clean and be transparent - although this might be difficult for those whose motives are hard to defend.

    Shareholders' needs have to be respected so we can put this down as the biggest merger in the EU's banking history. Obviously, the longer the wait, the more the scandal will dilute the real value of AA to the markets; it will shed unblinking light on the governments and business interests: backroom deals, insider trading, and the vagaries of the cosy polder model.

    Since information shifts and changes all the time. there is no longer a stable, long-term hierarchy but a permanently changing network of power relations. AA and its Board did not recognise this - or feigned ignorance as a way of asserting themselves as the elite.

    Early days. But is there a quick way forward? The Brussels buzz is that Commissioner Charlie McCreevy is clear they make no distinction between a hostile or friendly takeover, but if things do not get sorted the credibility of the Dutch financial and economic system will be damaged.

  • AA
    AA shareholder
    24 May 2007

    Another shareholder sent me this:

    Stakeholders! Take Back the Bank

    The dismembering of ABN-AMRO is going to be similar to "the death of a thousand cuts". That's what recent developments, legal and regulatory, on both sides of the Atlantic clearly show.

    It will drag on - and on. The revelations about AA's advisors (Morgan Stanley and UBS) offering the 'Three Amigos' consortium financial help has further muddied the water. This means all the contracted advisors can finance both sides: the row is a red herring - the treachery and breaches of contract perfectly match the infectious greed we see as the hyenas circle the wounded AA.

    It will drag on and on. The public prosecutor is now investigating, thanks to shareholders' group VEB making a criminal complaint of leaking commercially sensitive information against Rijkman Groenink and the AA board. And who knows where that may lead?

    To read the rest, go here and scroll to comments:
    ftalphaville.ft.com/blog

  • Wh
    White knight
    9 May 2007

    I believe that in some areas like corporate finance, the deal (whether Barclays or RBS) could be a good opportunity for ABN teams. What do you think ?

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