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The credit derivatives crush

Banks are reportedly licking wounds on junk rated indices, but there's no less demand for credit derivatives expertise.

BNP Paribas is the latest to join the credit derivatives fray. Financial News reports that the French bank has bold plans to continue expanding its structured credit business, and may hire as many as 350 front office professionals this year (not all into credit derivatives, we assume).

Separately, Derivatives Week says Bank of America is upping its credit derivatives sales force in Europe by 25% in the coming months. And Royal Bank of Scotland, HSBC, West LB and Citigroup are also in the market for credit derivatives talent, according to headhunters.

But what of claims that the opaque credit derivatives market, and much of the rest of the financial system, are liable to go belly-up in the event of a major default?

It's all scaremongering, according to Terri Duhon, managing director of B&B Structured Finance, a derivatives advisory firm. "Credit derivatives will not exacerbate a market downturn," says Duhon. "If anything, the credit derivatives market has mitigated the contagion risk by distributing losses to a much larger number of investors."

In the meantime, Duhon says credit derivatives traders are well placed to profit from growing risk aversion: "As credit risk is perceived to be increasing, credit derivatives will increasingly be used as a hedging tool."

Little surprise, therefore, that structured credit desks have been doing well out of the current market, with trading volumes soaring on the back of market volatility. "People have only been losing money in crossover and high yield," says Alex Tracey, MD at Clifton Partners. "On the whole, most desks have done quite well out of widening spreads."

It's also little surprise, then, that banks continue to pile into the market. "It's a bit like property," reflects Tracey. "At this stage of the cycle, it may not look like a good time to be going in, but you don't want to be left on the sidelines."

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AUTHORAnonymous Insider Comment
  • Ma
    Matthew Philips's Conscience
    29 September 2008

    Newsweek
    The Monster That Ate Wall Street

    How 'credit default swaps'-an insurance against bad loans-turned from a smart bet into a killer.

    Matthew Philips
    NEWSWEEK
    From the magazine issue dated Oct 6, 2008

    The bank (JP Morgan) then identified the riskiest 10 percent tranche and sold it to investors in what was called the Broad Index Securitized Trust Offering, or Bistro for short. The Bistro was put together by Terri Duhon, at the time a 25-year-old MIT graduate working on JPMorgan's credit swaps desk in New York-a division that would eventually earn the name the Morgan Mafia for the number of former
    members who went on to senior positions at global banks and hedge funds.
    "We made it possible for banks to get their credit risk off their books
    and into nonfinancial institutions like insurance companies and pension funds," says Duhon, who now heads her own derivatives consulting business in London. ...
    "Sadly, they've been vilified," says Duhon. .... "It's like saying it's the gun's fault when someone gets shot." But just as one might want to regulate street sales of AK-47s, there's an argument to be made that credit default swaps can be dangerous in the wrong hands.

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